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GDX–GDXJ · Quantitative Market Structure · October 10, 2026

GDX–GDXJ: Selling Pressure Eases, but Market Breadth Keeps Deteriorating

A tentative stabilization in weekly returns is not yet supported by a recovery in long-term breadth or decisive buying volume.

150Securities in the universe
36.9%Above 200-day moving average
42.6%More than 30% below 52-week highs
0.77×Median relative volume

Weekly snapshot: October 9, 2026. Percentages use valid observations for each metric.

The median weekly return improved to +0.19%, from −5.81% one week earlier. Yet only 55 of 149 securities with valid moving-average data remain above their 200-day average. The central divergence is between moderating short-term selling pressure and continuing deterioration in longer-term market structure.

1. Market breadth: the correction continues to spread

Share of securities above the 200-day moving average

Sep 25
54.7%
Oct 2
41.9%
Oct 9
36.9%

Percentage of securities with valid MA200 readings; bar scale 0–100%.

Breadth has fallen nearly 18 percentage points in just two weeks. On the matched four-week sample, the decline reaches 26.35 percentage points. The improvement in weekly returns has therefore not stopped the loss of long-term uptrends. A durable recovery would require broader participation, not merely a bounce in a handful of names.

2. Drawdowns: early stabilization, substantial damage

42.6% of securities with valid observations trade more than 30% below their 52-week closing highs, a modest improvement from 43.9% a week earlier. The proportion down more than 50% remains at 9.5%.

Drawdown depth is no longer worsening at the same pace, but that improvement has yet to translate into better MA200 breadth. This distinction matters: a slowing decline is not the same as a confirmed reversal.

3. Volume: less selling, not yet strong buying

Latest volume participation

Positive 20-day balance
38.7%
Relative volume ≥1.5×
3.3%
Advancing, volume ≥1.5×
0.7%

Bar scale 0–100%; volume thresholds use the weekly scanner's definitions.

The median signed 20-session volume balance improved from −15.91% to −9.52%, while the share with a positive balance rose from 30.0% to 38.7%. But median relative volume fell from 0.84× to 0.77×. Only five securities showed relative volume of at least 1.5×, and just one combined that level with a positive five-session return.

Interpretation: selling pressure is easing, but forceful, broad-based accumulation has not yet appeared.

4. Dispersion and leadership

The 25 strongest weekly performers posted a median gain of +5.13%, compared with −6.01% for the 25 weakest. Examples of weekly strength include Aura Minerals (+11.36%), Galiano Gold (+10.05%), Skeena Resources in Toronto (+9.02%) and Lundin Gold (+8.91%).

Short-term winners should not automatically be treated as structural leaders. Galiano Gold and Lundin Gold, for example, remained below their respective 200-day averages despite their weekly advances.

5. Relative strength: short-term weakness, longer-term resilience

The median weekly relative return improved to −0.96% from −5.54% the previous week. The median four-week relative return stands at −9.83%, while the three-month reading remains positive at +11.98%.

This combination suggests severe near-term underperformance without necessarily invalidating the stronger relative structure accumulated over a longer horizon. Neither a completed correction nor a new advance can yet be inferred from these observations alone.

Conclusion: stabilization is possible; confirmation is missing

GDX–GDXJ shows signs that selling pressure is moderating. Weekly returns have stabilized, drawdown deterioration has slowed, and signed volume balance has improved. However, breadth continues to contract, median relative volume remains subdued, and high-volume advances are exceptionally rare.

The key signal to watch is a sustained recovery in MA200 breadth accompanied by broader positive volume participation. Until then, the evidence supports a tentative stabilization hypothesis—not a confirmed end to the correction.

Methodology: equally weighted security-level scanner observations, not index-cap-weighted measures. Listings may overlap economically; the 150 records should not be interpreted as 150 necessarily distinct legal companies. This report is independent research, not investment advice.

Full 150-Security Ranking

Explore the complete weekly ranking, including the global rank, ticker, closing price and returns over one week, four weeks, three months and year to date. Click a column heading to sort.

↓ Download original Excel workbook

The interactive table will populate from the original Excel workbook once it has been uploaded to this study's assets folder.

Weekly rank ↕Global rank ↕Ticker ↕Company ↕Last close ↕1 week ↕4 weeks ↕3 months ↕YTD ↕

Ranking includes securities, ETFs and multiple listings where present in the source workbook. Global ranking may be unavailable for some entries.

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